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forecasting It's a big building with patients but that's not important right now Life nonlinear dynamics predictive analytics Problem Solving

COVID-19 Danger Close

One of the first things to recognize about the current outbreak is that it is very unlikely that anyone can predict how serious this will become. Part of the problem is that, so far as anyone knows, humanity has no natural immunity to SARS-CoV-2 (the virus causing COVID-19). This issue suggests that it will sweep […]

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Life nonlinear dynamics Problem Solving real world Risk

Systemic Risk of Pandemic via Novel Pathogens – Coronavirus: A Note

Joseph Norman†, Yaneer Bar-Yam†, Nassim Nicholas Taleb ∗‡ †New England Complex Systems Institute, ∗School of Engineering, New York University, ‡ Universa Investments