forecasting It's a big building with patients but that's not important right now Life nonlinear dynamics predictive analytics Problem Solving

COVID-19 Danger Close

One of the first things to recognize about the current outbreak is that it is very unlikely that anyone can predict how serious this will become. Part of the problem is that, so far as anyone knows, humanity has no natural immunity to SARS-CoV-2 (the virus causing COVID-19). This issue suggests that it will sweep […]

forecasting Heuristics Induction Life predictive analytics Problem Solving Randomness


In my mind, Scotsman David Hume was correct when he said that our mind often draws conclusions from relatively limited experiences that appear correct, but which are actually far from certain. The mind is an incredibly interesting correlation engine and I’ve been observing it as an amateur neuroscientist for quite some time. In my professional […]