Category: Risk

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Economics forecasting Induction nonlinear dynamics predictive analytics real world Risk Statistics

Data Driven Lunacy

The more any quantitative social indicator is used for social decision-making, the more subject it will be to corruption pressures, and the more apt it will be to distort and corrupt the social processes it is intended to monitor. Campbell’s Law | Campbell, Donald T (1979). “Assessing the impact of planned social change”. Evaluation and […]

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COVID-19 Exponential Growth forecasting Induction It's a big building with patients but that's not important right now Life nonlinear dynamics real world Risk

Apples to Big Apples

It is one of those sad aspects of politics that people become so attached to that they loose sight of reality. The POTUS and policy makers who are asking us to stop social distancing are up against a lot of data that refutes their suggestions; with the POTUS now listening to the inner circle of […]