Category: Risk

Economics forecasting Induction nonlinear dynamics predictive analytics real world Risk Statistics

Data Driven Lunacy

The more any quantitative social indicator is used for social decision-making, the more subject it will be to corruption pressures, and the more apt it will be to distort and corrupt the social processes it is intended to monitor. Campbell’s Law | Campbell, Donald T (1979). “Assessing the impact of planned social change”. Evaluation and […]

COVID-19 Exponential Growth forecasting Induction It's a big building with patients but that's not important right now Life nonlinear dynamics real world Risk

Apples to Big Apples

It is one of those sad aspects of politics that people become so attached to that they loose sight of reality. The POTUS and policy makers who are asking us to stop social distancing are up against a lot of data that refutes their suggestions; with the POTUS now listening to the inner circle of […]

Tags 104%, COVID-19, I love you people, SARS-CoV-2

I am a technologist, essayist, scholar, and statistician whose areas of interest include machine learning, computer science, economics, psychology, randomness, probability, and uncertainty. I work at Apple where I manage teams of software engineers in service of machine learning projects to help improve Apple’s products and operations. I maintain this blog as an area where I can engage with various areas of interest in support of my personal research projects. I live with my spouse (Torri), and sometimes our now mostly grown three children, and our two dogs in California’s Silicon Valley.

All publications and views expressed on this site are my own and do not represent the opinions or views on any entity whatsoever with which I have been, am now, or may in the future be affiliated with. Period. Full stop.

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