COVID-19 Exponential Growth forecasting Induction It's a big building with patients but that's not important right now Life nonlinear dynamics real world Risk

Apples to Big Apples

It is one of those sad aspects of politics that people become so attached to that they loose sight of reality. The POTUS and policy makers who are asking us to stop social distancing are up against a lot of data that refutes their suggestions; with the POTUS now listening to the inner circle of […]

forecasting Heuristics Induction Life predictive analytics Problem Solving Randomness


In my mind, Scotsman David Hume was correct when he said that our mind often draws conclusions from relatively limited experiences that appear correct, but which are actually far from certain. The mind is an incredibly interesting correlation engine and I’ve been observing it as an amateur neuroscientist for quite some time. In my professional […]