COVID-19 Resources

SOURCES FOR YOU

(updated 25 March 2020)

Current COVID-19 Information

Dong, E., Du, H., & Gardner, L. (2020). An interactive web-based dashboard to track COVID-19 in real timeThe Lancet Infectious Diseases. Dashboard: here

US CDC COVID-19 Situation Summary (here)

WHO COVID-19 Situation reports (here)

U.K. Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE): Coronavirus (COVID-19) response (link)

Coronavirus simulator (link)

Epidemic calculator (link)

Our World in Data COVID-19 (link)

A Users Guide to COVID-19, London Business School (link)

DATA SOURCES

COVID-19 Scenarios and Dynamics

Atkeson, A. 2020. What Will Be the Economic Impact of COVID-19 in the US? Rough Estimates of Disease Scenarios, NBER Working Paper No. 26867.

Eichenbaum, M. et al. 2020. The Macroeconomics of Epidemics, NBER Working Paper No. 26882.

Barro, R. et al. 2020. The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from the “Spanish Flu” for the Coronavirus’s Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity, NBER Working Paper No. 26866.

McKibbin, W. J., & Fernando, R. (2020). The global macroeconomic impacts of COVID-19: Seven scenarios. Brookings Institution. (PDF)

Baldwin, R., & di Mauro, B. W. (2020). Economics in the Time of COVID-19. Center for European Policy Research (PDF)

Baldwin, R., & di Mauro, B. W. (2020). Mitigating the COVID Economic Crisis: Act Fast and Do Whatever It Takes. Center for European Policy Research (PDF)

Beale, R. 2020. Wash Your HandsLondon Review of Books, 19 March.

COVID-19 Policy Options and Evaluation

Emanuel, E. et al. 2020. Fair Allocation of Scarce Medical Resources in the Time of Covid-19New England Journal of Medicine, 23 March.

Milanovic, B. 2020. The Real Pandemic Danger Is Social Collapse As the Global Economy Comes Apart, Societies May, TooForeign Affairs, 19 March.

M. Chinazzi et al., The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreakScience 10.1126/science.aba9757 (2020).

Riou, J., & Althaus, C. L. (2020). Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020Eurosurveillance, 25(4).

Rosenbaum, L. 2020. Facing Covid-19 in Italy — Ethics, Logistics, and Therapeutics on the Epidemic’s Front LineNew England Journal of Medicine, 18 March.

Unheeded Warnings

GAO, 2018. INFECTIOUS DISEASE THREATS: Funding and Performance of Key Preparedness and Capacity-Building Programs, GAO-18-362: Published: May 24, 2018

GAO, 2020. NATIONAL BIODEFENSE STRATEGY: Additional Efforts Would Enhance Likelihood of Effective Implementation, GAO-20-273: Published: Feb 19, 2020

Taylor, M. 2020. Exclusive: U.S. axed CDC expert job in China months before virus outbreakReuters, 22 March.

Roston, A. 2020. Exclusive: White House told federal health agency to classify coronavirus deliberations – sourcesReuters, 11 March.

Sanger, D. et al. 2020. A Cascade of Warnings, Heard but Unheeded, Before Virus OutbreakNew York Times, 19 March.

WEF, 2019. Outbreak Readiness and Business Impact Protecting Lives and Livelihoods across the Global Economy, World Economic Forum, January.

Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in partnership with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, 2019, Event 201 pandemic simulation

National Security Council, 2018. Clade X pandemic simulation

National Research Council 2016. The Neglected Dimension of Global Security: A Framework to Counter Infectious Disease Crises. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/21891.

Menachery, V.D., Yount Jr, B.L., Debbink, K., Agnihothram, S., Gralinski, L.E., Plante, J.A., Graham, R.L., Scobey, T., Ge, X.Y., Donaldson, E.F. and Randell, S.H., 2015. A SARS-like cluster of circulating bat coronaviruses shows potential for human emergenceNature medicine21(12), p.1508.

He, B., Zhang, Y., Xu, L., Yang, W., Yang, F., Feng, Y., Xia, L., Zhou, J., Zhen, W., Feng, Y. and Guo, H., 2014. Identification of diverse alphacoronaviruses and genomic characterization of a novel severe acute respiratory syndrome-like coronavirus from bats in ChinaJournal of virology88(12), pp.7070-7082.

Cheng, V. C., Lau, S. K., Woo, P. C., & Yuen, K. Y. (2007). Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus as an agent of emerging and reemerging infectionClinical microbiology reviews20(4), 660-694.

Science Advice and Emergency Situations

Cohen, J. 2020. ‘I’m going to keep pushing.’ Anthony Fauci tries to make the White House listen to facts of the pandemic, Science, 22 March.

Mesfin, M. 2020. It Takes a World to End a Pandemic Scientific Cooperation Knows No Boundaries—FortunatelyForeign Affairs, 21 March.

Wickham, A. 2020. 10 Days That Changed Britain: “Heated” Debate Between Scientists Forced Boris Johnson To Act On Coronavirus, BuzzFeed, 21 March.

Nature, 2020. Coronavirus: three things all governments and their science advisers must do now, 17 March.

OECD, 2018. Scientific Advice During Crises Facilitating Transnational Co-operation and Exchange of Information, OECD Publishing, Paris. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264304413-en

Wilton Park, 2017. Report: Science advice: international co-operation and exchange of data and information during transnational crises, OECD. (PDF)

OECD 2015, Scientific Advice for Policy Making: The Role and Responsibility of Expert Bodies and Individual Scientists, OECD Science, Technology and Industry Policy Papers, No. 21, OECD Publishing, Paris. (PDF)

UK House of Commons, 2011. Scientific advice and evidence in emergencies, Inquiry and Reports (here), Direct link to report (PDF).

The Royal Society, 2006. Pandemic Influenza: From Science to Policy, The Royal Society, London. (PDF)

Pandemics, Society, Politics and Policy Dynamics

Assve, A. et al. 2020. Pandemics and social capital: From the Spanish flu of 1918-19 to COVID-19, VoxEu, 22 March.

Nerlich, B. (2007). Media, metaphors and modelling: How the UK newspapers reported the epidemiological modelling controversy during the 2001 foot and mouth outbreakScience, technology, & human values32(4), 432-457.

Elbe, S., Leach, M., and Scoones, I. (2013). Pandemic Flu Controversies: What have we learned? Reflections from a workshop to discuss lessons, policy implications and future challenges. STEPS Centre and Centre for Global Health Policy, University of Sussex, Brighton. (PDF)

Safford, T. et al. 2017.The Zika Virus Threat: How Concerns About Scientists May Undermine Efforts to Combat the Pandemic, Carsey School of Public Policy, University of New Hampshire.

Versluis, E., van Asselt, M., & Kim, J. (2019). The multilevel regulation of complex policy problems: uncertainty and the swine flu pandemicEuropean Policy Analysis, 5(1), 80-98.

Bjørkdahl, K., & Carlsen, B. (Eds.). (2018). Pandemics, Publics, and Politics: Staging Responses to Public Health Crises. Springer.

Fan, V. Y., Jamison, D. T., & Summers, L. H. (2018). Pandemic risk: how large are the expected losses?Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 96(2), 129.

SARS-Cov-2 and Relevant Research

Andersen, K. G., Rambaut, A., Lipkin, W. I., Holmes, E. C., & Garry, R. F. (2020). The proximal origin of SARS-CoV-2Nature Medicine, 17 March.

Lloyd-Smith, J. O., Schreiber, S. J., Kopp, P. E., & Getz, W. M. (2005). Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on disease emergenceNature438(7066), 355-359.

Tools and Training

CDC. Create an Epi Curve (here)

Wendleboe et al. 2020. Tabletop exercise to prepare institutions of higher education for an outbreak of COVID-19, Journal of Emergency Management, Vol 18.  Article (PDF), Tabletop Exercise (PDF)

Short Course: Infection Prevention and Control (IPC) for Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19), World Health Organization.

UK Influenza Pandemic Preparedness Strategy 2011 (PDF)