Economics forecasting Induction nonlinear dynamics predictive analytics real world Risk Statistics

Data Driven Lunacy

The more any quantitative social indicator is used for social decision-making, the more subject it will be to corruption pressures, and the more apt it will be to distort and corrupt the social processes it is intended to monitor. Campbell’s Law | Campbell, Donald T (1979). “Assessing the impact of planned social change”. Evaluation and […]

COVID-19 Exponential Growth forecasting It's a big building with patients but that's not important right now Life nonlinear dynamics predictive analytics Problem Solving real world Risk Statistics

argumentum ad ignorantiam

We have it totally under control. It’s one person coming in from China, and we have it under control. It’s going to be just fine. President Trump — Jan. 21, 2020 [Interview] President Trump’s was confused. At least President Trump’s confusion is consistent over time. Very similar to his praise of West Virgina Governor Jim […]