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COVID-19 Economics forecasting Forgiveness Politics real world Risk Statistics

Main Street Suckered. Again.

In the face of the COVID-19 crisis, Congress offered up a $2.2 trillion package in March. It was sold to the public as a means of providing necessary relief for the millions of Americans, businesses, and hospitals. This, the biggest economic stimulus package in United States history, was passed unanimously by the Senate and near-universal […]

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Economics forecasting Induction nonlinear dynamics predictive analytics real world Risk Statistics

Data Driven Lunacy

The more any quantitative social indicator is used for social decision-making, the more subject it will be to corruption pressures, and the more apt it will be to distort and corrupt the social processes it is intended to monitor. Campbell’s Law | Campbell, Donald T (1979). “Assessing the impact of planned social change”. Evaluation and […]